Rudy Gobert Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2025

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 8, 2025

Updated Feb 9, 2025 4:04 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gobert has converted 72.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.3% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 91st percentile.
Rudy Gobert has averaged a measly 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 3.2 fouls per game last year.
The Timberwolves have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Rudy Gobert will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 0.0% of his treys since the start of last season, ranking in the 5th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The clash with Deandre Ayton comes in at the 7th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs burying only 4.5 shots per game this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
As a team, the Timberwolves have been poor at getting to the foul line when playing at home: 8th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 21.1 free throw attempts per game.

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