Rudy Gobert Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2025

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 25, 2025

Updated Jan 26, 2025 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gobert has made 77.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 5.8% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season at home.
Rudy Gobert has tallied 33.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 89th percentile.
The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Rudy Gobert has converted 3.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 2.5 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
The number of 3-pointers attempted against Nikola Jokic has been very low (1.4 per game) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The 2nd-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
When it comes to drawing fouls, the Minnesota Timberwolves's unimpressive 20.9 free throws per game measures as the 8th-worst in the NBA this year.

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