Rudy Gobert Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2025

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 22, 2025

Updated Jan 23, 2025 12:40 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+116/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Rudy Gobert measures in the 88th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 32.9 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
The Timberwolves check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
The number of shots from the field against Daniel Gafford has been very high (11.2 per game) when guarding other starting Cs this year (90th percentile).
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Daniel Gafford has been very high (3.4 free throw attempts per game) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (87th percentile).

Favors Under

Rudy Gobert has scored a measly 10.1 points per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 13.7 points per game last year.
Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 5th percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a feeble 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
The 2nd-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from competing against the 6th-most lethargic tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 9thworst in in the league when playing on the road with just 10.3 offensive boards per game this year.

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