Rudy Gobert Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2024

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 29, 2024

Updated Dec 30, 2024 2:10 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert rates in the 96th percentile for field goal effectiveness with a very good 65.2% rate this year.
Rudy Gobert has tallied 33.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 89th percentile.
In terms of three-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 15.0 made threes per game comes in as the 4th-highest in the NBA this year.
The number of field goal attempts against Victor Wembanyama has been remarkably high (11.5 per game) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (90th percentile).
Rudy Gobert will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually improves player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 4th percentile for 3-point efficiency with an unimpressive 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert places in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.6 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Spurs have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should reduce plays for the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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