Rudy Gobert Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2024

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 2, 2024

Updated Dec 3, 2024 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gobert has converted 65.5% of his field goals on his home court this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league.
Rudy Gobert has tallied 38.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Timberwolves have been the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home in regard to 3-point attempts.
Rudy Gobert figures to see a spike in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Rudy Gobert has converted 0.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc since the start of last season, putting him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 3.0 fouls per game playing at home this year.
The matchup against Anthony Davis is a tough one for 3-pointers; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have converted just 22.7% of their 3-point attempts (15th percentile).
The Timberwolves have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

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