Rudy Gobert Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2024

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 12, 2024

Updated Nov 13, 2024 3:24 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+107/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Rudy Gobert places in the 76th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 31.7 minutes per game this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year in terms of 3-point shots.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should raise possessions for the Timberwolves.
Rudy Gobert has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 20.6% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert rates in the 4th percentile for 3-point ability with a lackluster 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
Rudy Gobert has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (94th percentile).
The number of points averaged against Donovan Clingan has been very low (7.2 per game) when he is at home and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (6th percentile).
The 10th-most sluggish pace away team in the league this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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