Rudy Gobert Points - Player Prop Bet 5/30/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · May 30, 2024

Updated May 31, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 97th percentile for field goal ability with a superb 66.0% rate this year.
In terms of 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's fantastic 38.3% rate of successful threes rates 3rd-best in the league this year.
The matchup against Daniel Gafford is a positive one; he has given up a colossal 15.3 points per game when matched up against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
Rudy Gobert has attempted 6.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games while at home, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.
The matchup with Daniel Gafford when it comes to getting to the charity stripe measures in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting a monstrous 3.8 foul shots per game this year.

Favors Under

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 0.0% of his three-point shots while playing at home this year, ranking in the 7th percentile out of all players in the league.
Rudy Gobert has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The slowest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from facing the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 5thworst in in the NBA while at home with a mere 8.9 offensive boards per game this year.