Rudy Gobert Points - Player Prop Bet 5/16/2024

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · May 16, 2024

Updated May 17, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 97th percentile for shooting prowess with a very good 66.1% rate this year.
Out of all players in the league, Rudy Gobert registers in the 92nd percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 34.1 minutes per game this year.
As it relates to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's fantastic 38.5% rate of made threes places 2nd-best in the league this year.
The matchup with Nikola Jokic ranks in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs notching a whopping 16.3 points per game this year.
Rudy Gobert has attempted 7.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 1.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Favors Under

Rudy Gobert has sunk 0.0% of his three-pointers while on his home court this year, ranking in the 7th percentile among all players in the league.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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