Rudy Gobert Points - Player Prop Bet 5/10/2024

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · May 10, 2024

Updated May 11, 2024 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gobert has logged 19.4 points per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 4.7 more than he's logged overall this season at home.
Rudy Gobert has converted 65.9% of his shots from the field this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among all players in the league.
Rudy Gobert has played 34.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a good one; he has allowed an enormous 16.4 points per game when facing opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

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