Rudy Gobert Points - Player Prop Bet 5/6/2024

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 6, 2024

Updated May 7, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The number of points totaled against Nikola Jokic has been quite high (16.3 per game) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Favors Under

The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing on the road.
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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