Rudy Gobert Points - Player Prop Bet 5/4/2024

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 4, 2024

Updated May 4, 2024 10:31 PM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gobert has sunk 61.5% of his shots from the field when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league.
Rudy Gobert has played 33.7 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road.
The faceoff with Nikola Jokic rates in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs averaging a whopping 16.4 points per game this year.
Rudy Gobert has successfully made 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's converted overall this season.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert rates in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 3.1 fouls per game this year.
The 6th-least up-tempo pace visiting team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Rudy Gobert will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen player production for all stats.

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