Rudy Gobert Points - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 28, 2024

Updated Apr 29, 2024 1:31 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gobert has averaged 19.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
Rudy Gobert has sunk 73.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 6.8% more than he's put through the net overall this season.
Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 33.9 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
In regard to offense, the Minnesota Timberwolves's terrific 115.6 points per game while on the road measures as the 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns).

Favors Under

The number of three-point shots sunk against Jusuf Nurkic has been quite low (0.4 per game) when he is at home and facing opposing starting Cs this year (15th percentile).
The 8th-slowest pace road team in the NBA this year has been the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 7thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup with Jusuf Nurkic when it comes to getting to the foul line measures in the 15th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting just 2.5 foul shots per game this year when they are on the visiting team.
Rudy Gobert will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower player production across the board.