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Rudy Gobert

Rudy Gobert Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Rudy Gobert has made 72.2% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 6.0% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 34.4 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

As it relates to treys, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.7% rate of made threes rates 4th-most in the league this year.

The number of points averaged against Jabari Smith Jr. has been very high (16.4 per game) when he is away from his home court and guarding other starting Cs this year (87th percentile).

The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which ought to increase opportunities for the Timberwolves.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Rudy Gobert has converted 0.0% of his 3-pointers when playing at home this year, ranking in the 7th percentile among all players in the league.

Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 3.1 fouls per game playing at home this year.

The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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