Rudy Gobert Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 3:57 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-112/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gobert has made 70.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 5.8% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.
Rudy Gobert has averaged 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 90th percentile.
As it relates to scoring, the Minnesota Timberwolves's outstanding 48.9% field goal percentage rates 8th-highest in the league this year.
When playing on the road, the Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Rudy Gobert has attempted 7.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games while at home, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert slots into the 8th percentile for 3-point proficiency on his home court with a a feeble 0.0% rate this year.
While on the visiting team and matched up against opposing starting Cs, Jaren Jackson Jr. slots into the 10th percentile with only 1.2 three-point shots attempted against him per game this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the 5th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 1stworst in in the NBA as the home team with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.