Rudy Gobert Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 2:28 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 96th percentile for field goal ability with a an excellent 65.2% rate this year.
Rudy Gobert has averaged 33.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 8th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The number of points posted against Victor Wembanyama has been remarkably high (16.7 per game) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

Rudy Gobert has attempted 0.0 three-pointers per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 7th percentile out of all players in the league.
The 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the league as the home team with a mere 8.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 25 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have secured 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Spurs (lengthening possessions that can create more chances for offense).

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