Rudy Gobert Points - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 5, 2024 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 64.9% of his field goals this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.
In terms of 3-point shots, the Timberwolves's fantastic 42.7% rate of sunk threes comes in as the most in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup with Alperen Sengun measures in just the 97th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs scoring a massive 6.5 shots per game this year when they are on their home court.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).
Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have secured 6.2 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in further chances for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert slots into the 7th percentile for three-point ability when playing at home with a a feeble 0.0% rate this year.
Rudy Gobert has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this season at home.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Timberwolves check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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