Rudy Gobert Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gobert has sunk 64.6% of his field goals this year, ranking in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 88th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 33.2 minutes per game this year.
In regard to 3-pointers, the Timberwolves's terrific 41.8% rate of converted threes comes in as the strongest in the league over the last 25 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in plays today from competing against the 2nd-fastest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
Rudy Gobert has attempted 8.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 3.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 7th percentile for 3-point performance at home with a a poor 0.0% rate this year.
The matchup against Richaun Holmes is a challenging one; he has allowed a measly 12.4 points per game without the home court advantage when facing opposing starting Cs this year (10th percentile).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 1stworst in in the NBA on their home court with a mere 8.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, their opposition has collected 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks (continuing possessions that can spark added opportunities for offense).

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