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Rudy Gobert

Rudy Gobert Points
Player Prop - 12/21/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Rudy Gobert has sunk 69.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 7.2% more than he's converted overall this year.

Rudy Gobert has played 31.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 81st percentile.

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 25 games.

The showdown with Anthony Davis places in just the 97th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs burying a whopping 1.0 3-pointers per game this year.

The Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Lakers).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Rudy Gobert lands in the 4th percentile for three-point efficiency with a a bad 0.0% rate since the start of last season.

The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 2ndworst in in the NBA on their home court with only 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Over the last 15 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have nabbed 11.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Lakers (lengthening possessions that can produce added opportunities for offense).

The matchup against Anthony Davis is a hard one for getting to the foul line; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.7 free throws per game (24th percentile).

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