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Rudy Gobert

Rudy Gobert Points
Player Prop - 11/26/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 80th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 31.8 minutes per game while on the road this year.
  • The Timberwolves check in as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while on the road since the start of last season.
  • The matchup vs. the Memphis Grizzlies is a positive one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting Cs this year (17.7).
  • This year, their opposition has grabbed 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (turning over possessions that could otherwise bring about more chances for offense).
  • The matchup against Memphis is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting Cs have attempted a whopping 6.1 foul shots per game this year when the Grizzlies are on their home court (29th-most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In contrast to last year's 66.7% rate, Rudy Gobert's shooting ability has diminished this year to 58.8%.
  • Rudy Gobert has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (82nd percentile).
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which ought to reduce plays for the Timberwolves.
  • The Timberwolves have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Compared to last year's 1.8 rate, Rudy Gobert's off-target foul shots have jumped this year to 2.3 per game.

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