Rudy Gobert Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2024

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 28, 2024

Updated Apr 29, 2024 1:36 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 33.9 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert slots into the 98th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 3.1 fouls per game this year.
The 8th-slowest pace road team in the NBA this year has been the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 7thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Rudy Gobert will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower player production across the board.

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