Rudy Gobert Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+175/-225).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -230 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gobert has averaged 33.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Timberwolves.
Rudy Gobert stands to see a rise in output across the board due to owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Rudy Gobert has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the league as the home team with a mere 8.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 25 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have secured 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Spurs (lengthening possessions that can create more chances for offense).

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