Rudy Gobert Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+165/-234).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -214 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -234.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gobert has tallied 33.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Timberwolves.
Over the last 20 games when they are on their home court, the other team has secured 8.8 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Bucks (shortening possessions that could otherwise create extra chances for offense).
Rudy Gobert will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

Rudy Gobert has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
The 3rd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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