Rudy Gay Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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Rudy Gay

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gay

F-G · Utah Jazz

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 8, 2023 1:26 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gay Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gay has made 59.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 19.0% more than he's converted overall this year.
The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Mavericks have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Rudy Gay has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 11.1% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season on the road.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted a lowly 19.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (4th-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Utah Jazz rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
This matchup is a strong one for field goals; opposing teams have posted the 3rd-highest field goal rate in the NBA over the last 5 games (51.8%).
The Utah Jazz have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Jazz.
Rudy Gay will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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