Rudy Gay Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2023

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Rudy Gay

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gay

F-G · Utah Jazz

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Utah Jazz · Feb 10, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gay Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-134/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gay has committed 1.2 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 24th percentile -- among the NBA's lowest-fouling.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Rudy Gay has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 16.7% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Rudy Gay has made a measly 20.4% of his attempts from downtown this season, a sizeable decrease from his 33.2 rate last season.
The Raptors have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Jazz.
As a team, the Utah Jazz have been bad at getting to the free throw line while playing on the road: 5th-worst in the league this year, averaging just 21.0 foul shot attempts per game.
Rudy Gay will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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