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Royce O'Neale Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+104/-128).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -128.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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In comparison to last season's 5.5 rate, Royce O'Neale's shots from behind the three-point arc have surged this season to 6.8 per game.The Nets have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA away from home this year.When playing away from home, the Miami Heat have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have attempted 19.0 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Out of all players in the NBA, Royce O'Neale rates in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 3.4 fouls per game away from home this year.This year, opposing squads have averaged 38.5% on three-pointers (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, labeling this as a favorable matchup.The 9th-slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nets.The Brooklyn Nets are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-slowest pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).The Brooklyn Nets check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
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