Robert Williams III Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Portland Trail Blazers

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 3, 2023

Updated Nov 4, 2023 2:46 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has averaged 2.5 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 95th percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should raise opportunities for the Trail Blazers.
Robert Williams III will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to increase stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The 8th-most lethargic tempo road team in the NBA this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Trail Blazers grade out 8thworst in in the league while on the road with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are at home, their opposition has snagged 10.9 offensive boards per game (9th-most in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies (maintaining possessions that can produce additional chances for offense).

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