Robert Williams III Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/29/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat · May 29, 2023

Updated May 29, 2023 10:36 PM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
On the road, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has averaged a mere 2.5 offensive rebounds per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 3.6 offensive rebounds per game last season.
The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.

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