Robert Williams III Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics · Mar 21, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 2:01 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-134/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Kings have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Celtics.
The Kings have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has posted just 3.1 offensive rebounds per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 3.6 offensive rebounds per game last season.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from home.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production across the board.

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