Robert Williams III Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has averaged 4.1 offensive rebounds per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.
The Nets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should boost possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually increases stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games at home.
The Nets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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