Robert Williams III Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 1, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 2:26 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has put up 4.1 offensive rebounds per game at home this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders in this category.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing at home.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games while traveling, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Celtics.

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