Robert Williams III Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Rebounds

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 1:36 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-102/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has put up 3.6 offensive rebounds per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile.
On their home court, the 76ers have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (78th percentile).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage.
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually worsens stat production for all stats.

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