Robert Williams III Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 3, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-134/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has posted 4.0 offensive rebounds per game while at home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this standard.
The Suns have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to increase possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally raises player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
When playing on the road, the Suns have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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