Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 2/20/2026

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 20, 2026

Updated Feb 21, 2026 3:33 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-165/+119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -131 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has notched 10.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 more than he's notched over the course of the season.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to 3-pointers, the Portland Trail Blazers's subpar 34.1% rate of sunk threes places 2nd-weakest in the NBA this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease possessions for the Trail Blazers.

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