Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2025

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Orlando Magic vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 23, 2025

Updated Jan 24, 2025 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Robert Williams III ranks in the 97th percentile for scoring proficiency with an impressive 63.2% rate this year.
The Trail Blazers have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 8.3% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
The clash with Wendell Carter Jr. with respect to getting to the charity stripe lands in only the 93rd percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting a whopping 4.0 foul shots per game this year when they are playing on the road.

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 6 games, 1.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
The number of shots converted against Wendell Carter Jr. has been remarkably low (4.6 per game) when he is playing at home and defending other starting Cs this year (10th percentile).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games as the away team.
The Orlando Magic have played at the slowest tempo in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Trail Blazers.

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