Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2024

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 20, 2024

Updated Nov 21, 2024 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Robert Williams III registers in the 95th percentile for field goal efficiency while playing away from home with a stellar 67.0% rate since the start of last season.
Among all players in the league, Robert Williams III comes in at the 98th percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a superb 50.0% rate since the start of last season.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Thunder have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 9 games on their home court, which should increase plays for the Portland Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 6 games, 2.6 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
As it relates to shooting, the Trail Blazers's lackluster 104.3 points per game as the road team settles in as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.
Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have averaged 37.1 three attempts per game (22nd-most in the NBA) against the Thunder, resulting in a favorable matchup.
Robert Williams III will likely experience a decrease in output across the board due to being on the road in this contest.

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