Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2023

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 5, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 2:12 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has successfully made 67.5% of his shots from the field away from his home court since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league.
This matchup is a difficult one for scoring; when the Grizzlies are on their home court, opposing teams have put up the lowest FG% in the league against them since the start of last season (45.6%).
The Trail Blazers will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).
As a team, the Portland Trail Blazers have been very successful at getting to the foul line when playing on the road: 8th-best in the NBA since the start of last season, totaling 24.6 free throw attempts per game.
Robert Williams III stands to get a boost in productivity for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Robert Williams III measures in the 4th percentile for 3-point ability with a a poor 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
The 8th-most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
While playing away from home, the Grizzlies have allowed the 7th-most offensive boards per game (10.9) in the NBA to opposing squads since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season, opposing clubs have attempted 25.2 free throws per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.