Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 3, 2023

Updated Nov 4, 2023 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In regard to 3-point attempts, the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA when playing at home since the start of last season has been the Trail Blazers.
Since the start of last season when they are at home, opposing squads have averaged 45.7% on field goals (worst in the league) against the Grizzlies, marking this as a hard matchup.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should raise opportunities for the Trail Blazers.
Robert Williams III will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to increase stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has made 0.0% of his 3-point attempts playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 4th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The 8th-most lethargic tempo road team in the NBA this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Trail Blazers grade out 8thworst in in the league while on the road with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are at home, their opposition has snagged 10.9 offensive boards per game (9th-most in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies (maintaining possessions that can produce additional chances for offense).
Robert Williams III has sunk 55.7% of his foul shot attempts without the home court advantage since the start of last season, putting him in the 7th percentile among all players in the league.