Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 5/29/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat · May 29, 2023

Updated May 30, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has sunk 79.9% of his field goals playing at home this year, ranking in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
On the road, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting Cs this year (11.8).
The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.
Robert Williams III has made a measly 54.6% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit less than his 76.6 mark last year.
As a team, the Boston Celtics have been bad at drawing fouls in recent games: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, drawing a measly 19.9 free throw attempts per game.

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