Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 5/27/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · May 27, 2023

Updated May 28, 2023 2:31 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has made 77.4% of his shot attempts from the field when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.0 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year on the road.
The matchup against the Heat is a tough one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting Cs this year (11.8).
The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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