Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 5/21/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · May 21, 2023

Updated May 22, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has converted an impressive 79.3% of his shot attempts from the field this season, quite a bit more than his 73.7 rate last season.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.0 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
The matchup against the Heat is a hard one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting Cs this year (11.9).
The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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