Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 5/17/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat · May 17, 2023

Updated May 17, 2023 7:51 PM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has made 77.5% of his shots from the field when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally raises stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has attempted 0.0 shots from downtown per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 5th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The matchup against the Heat is a hard one; they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting Cs this year (11.9).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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