Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 5/14/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 14, 2023

Updated May 14, 2023 7:36 PM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+135/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has successfully made 88.7% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 9.7% more than he's sunk overall this season.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The 76ers have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally raises player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has attempted 0.0 3-point shots per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 5th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup against the 76ers is a challenging one for shots from the field; the other team's starting Cs have totaled the 15th-least shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (4.8).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 76ers have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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