Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · May 11, 2023

Updated May 11, 2023 10:16 PM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+115/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has made an impressive 79.5% of his shots from the field this season, a significant increase from his 73.7 mark last season.
The Boston Celtics have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
The 76ers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has tallied a mere 22.3 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 27.7 minutes per game last season.
The matchup against Philadelphia is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the 76ers are on their home court, the opposition's starting Cs have averaged the 15th-least FG attempts per game in the league this year (7.9).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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