Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 9, 2023

Updated May 10, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has sunk an impressive 79.8% of his field goals this year, a sizeable increase from his 73.7 mark last year.
The Boston Celtics have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The 76ers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.5) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the 76ers may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted a lowly 20.1 free throws per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the NBA).
Robert Williams III will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has attempted 0.0 three-pointers per game while at home this year, placing him in the 5th percentile among all players in the league.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The 76ers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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