Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 5/3/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 3, 2023

Updated May 4, 2023 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has sunk 89.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 11.5% higher than he's made in all games this season.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
The 76ers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.5) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to raises stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has attempted 0.0 3-pointers per game at home this year, ranking in the 5th percentile out of all players in the league.
The matchup vs. the 76ers is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; the opposition's starting Cs have tallied the 14th-least FG attempts per game in the league this year (8.3).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
The 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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