Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 1, 2023

Updated May 1, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has made 88.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 10.9% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court.
The 76ers have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (6.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has attempted 0.1 threes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 5th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Robert Williams III has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for overall this year.
The matchup against the 76ers is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting Cs have averaged the 15th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (8.3).
The 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).