Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics · Apr 27, 2023

Updated Apr 28, 2023 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has successfully made 85.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 8.3% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which should raise possessions for the Celtics.
The Hawks have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Robert Williams III has averaged just 23.1 minutes per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 27.7 minutes per game last year.
Robert Williams III has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 0.9 higher than he's been called for overall this season on the road.
The matchup against the Hawks is a tough one; they have allowed the 10th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting Cs over the last 5 games (7.9).
The Boston Celtics rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III has made a lowly 51.2% of his foul shots this year, significantly less than his 76.6 mark last year.

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