Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 4/25/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 25, 2023

Updated Apr 25, 2023 8:11 PM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has successfully made 83.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 6.6% more than he's made over the course of the season.
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league while playing at home this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home.
The Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost opportunities for the Celtics.
The Hawks have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This matchup is a strong one for scoring; opposing clubs have totaled the 2nd-most shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (43.8).
The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III has converted a measly 53.8% of his free throw attempts this year, significantly lower than his 76.6 mark last year.

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