Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 4/18/2023

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Robert Williams III

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 18, 2023

Updated Apr 19, 2023 2:17 AM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has converted 76.8% of his field goal attempts when playing at home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.
The Hawks have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should increase possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
On the road, the Hawks have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Hawks is a positive one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (120.6).
Robert Williams III has converted just 52.2% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly lower than his 76.6 rate last year.
As a team, the Boston Celtics have been poor at drawing fouls of late: worst in the league over the last 25 games, totaling a measly 19.7 free throws per game.

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