Robert Williams III Points - Player Prop Bet 4/15/2023

NBA · Player Props

Robert Williams III

C-F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 15, 2023

Updated Apr 15, 2023 7:21 PM EST

Analysis

Robert Williams III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Robert Williams III has made 75.6% of his field goal attempts at home this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Hawks have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to more plays for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Atlanta may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a monstrous 4.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Hawks are the visiting squad (24th-most in the NBA).
Robert Williams III will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production for all stats.

Favors Under

The matchup against Atlanta is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the Hawks are on the road, the opposing team's starting Cs have shot for the 14th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (23.0%).
The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
While playing away from home, the Hawks have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Robert Williams III has converted a mere 52.2% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit less than his 76.6 rate last year.
As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line of late: worst in the league over the last 25 games with a lowly 19.8 foul shots per game.